考虑一个三元素列表。它有这些可能的状态和相关的概率:
1 [a, b, c] (0)
在第一次洗牌操作中,a 有 1/3 的机会与任何元素交换,因此可能的状态和相关概率如下:
From (0)
1/3 [a, b, c] (1)
1/3 [b, a, c] (2)
1/3 [c, b, a] (3)
在第二次洗牌操作中,除了第二个槽外,同样的事情再次发生,所以:
From (1) ([a, b, c])
1/9 [b, a, c] (4)
1/9 [a, b, c] (5)
1/9 [a, c, b] (6)
From (2) ([b, a, c])
1/9 [a, b, c] (7)
1/9 [b, a, c] (8)
1/9 [b, c, a] (9)
From (3) ([c, b, a])
1/9 [b, c, a] (10)
1/9 [c, b, a] (11)
1/9 [c, a, b] (12)
在第三次洗牌操作中,同样的事情发生了,除了第三个槽,所以:
From (4) ([b, a, c])
1/27 [c, a, b] (13)
1/27 [b, c, a] (14)
1/27 [b, a, c] (15)
From (5) ([a, b, c])
1/27 [c, b, a] (16)
1/27 [a, c, b] (17)
1/27 [a, b, c] (18)
From (6) ([a, c, b])
1/27 [b, c, a] (19)
1/27 [a, b, c] (20)
1/27 [a, c, b] (21)
From (7) ([a, b, c])
1/27 [c, b, a] (22)
1/27 [a, c, b] (23)
1/27 [a, b, c] (24)
From (8) ([b, a, c])
1/27 [c, a, b] (25)
1/27 [b, c, a] (26)
1/27 [b, a, c] (27)
From (9) ([b, c, a])
1/27 [a, c, b] (28)
1/27 [b, a, c] (29)
1/27 [b, c, a] (30)
From (10) ([b, c, a])
1/27 [a, c, b] (31)
1/27 [b, a, c] (32)
1/27 [b, c, a] (33)
From (11) ([c, b, a])
1/27 [a, b, c] (34)
1/27 [c, a, b] (35)
1/27 [c, b, a] (36)
From (12) ([c, a, b])
1/27 [b, a, c] (37)
1/27 [c, b, a] (38)
1/27 [c, a, b] (39)
结合相似的术语,我们得到:
4/27 [a, b, c] From (18), (20), (24), (34)
5/27 [a, c, b] From (17), (21), (23), (28), (31)
5/27 [b, a, c] From (15), (27), (29), (32), (37)
5/27 [b, c, a] From (14), (19), (26), (30), (33)
4/27 [c, a, b] From (13), (25), (35), (39)
4/27 [c, b, a] From (16), (22), (36), (38)
这显然是不平衡的。
仅从尚未选择的元素中选择的随机播放是正确的。为了证明,我提出这个:
假设您有一袋元素。如果您从该袋子中随机挑选并将结果元素放入列表中,您将获得一个随机排序的列表。这本质上就是仅与尚未选择的那些元素进行交换(考虑将放置东西的列表作为列表的开头,将袋子作为可以交换的列表的尾部)。